Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES93¢ (93%)
NO7¢ (7%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $4.8K • Updated 30m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 7¢ · pays 13×
Price gap
Polymarket7¢
→OU's fair7¢
Confidence
Low
California's 41st district is a competitive seat where the Democratic challenger narrowly lost in the previous cycle and remains a top target for the party in 2026.
Off market consensus
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