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Will the Republican Party win the CA-47 House seat?

Price history — Will the Republican Party win the CA-47 House seat?

Last 7 days of market YES price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢Thu 6/4Fri 6/5Sat 6/6Sun 6/7Mon 6/8Tue 6/9TODAY
market YES fair range
Market price
YES6¢ (6%)
NO94¢ (94%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.7K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 6¢ · pays 18×
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair74¢
+68¢ underpriced · pays 18×
Confidence
Moderate

Incumbent Dave Min advanced from the June 2026 primary in a district that historically leans toward the Democratic party during midterm cycles.

Wide edge+68¢
Off market consensus
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