Will the Democratic Party win the CA-51 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES94¢ (94%)
NO6¢ (6%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.9K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 94¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket94¢
→OU's fair94¢
Confidence
Moderate
Incumbent Sara Jacobs represents a heavily Democratic district in San Diego and maintains a significant fundraising advantage according to FEC filings and local reports.
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