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California Governor Election Winner

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Xavier Becerra★ BEST64¢
Tom Steyer23¢
Steve Hilton10¢
Chad Bianco3¢
Katie Porter0¢
Kamala Harris0¢
Matt Mahan0¢
Butch Ware0¢
Antonio Villaraigosa0¢
Leo Zacky0¢
Elaine Culotti0¢
Kyle Langford0¢
Eric Swalwell0¢
Betty Yee0¢
Alex Padilla0¢
Stephen Cloobeck0¢
Daniel Mercuri0¢
Michael Younger0¢
Eleni Kounalakis0¢
Nicole Shanahan0¢
Rick Caruso0¢
Toni Atkins0¢
Tony Thurmond0¢
Option N0¢
Option T0¢
Option Q0¢
Option R0¢
Option H0¢
Other0¢
Option O0¢
Option M0¢
Option V0¢
Option W0¢
Option U0¢
Option L0¢
Option Y0¢
Option J0¢
Option P0¢
Option X0¢
Option I0¢
Option S0¢
Option G0¢
Option K0¢
Option F0¢
Option Z0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $25.3M • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Xavier Becerra
at 64¢
Price gap
Polymarket64¢
→
OU's fair48¢
−16¢ overpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling indicates Xavier Becerra leads the field of Democratic candidates in the race to succeed Gavin Newsom.

Wide edge+16¢
High volume$533k
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