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California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Xavier Becerra★ BEST55¢
Steve Hilton33¢
Tom Steyer12¢
Tony Thurmond2¢
Chad Bianco1¢
Betty Yee1¢
Raji Rab1¢
Katie Porter0¢
Matt Mahan0¢
Ramsey Robinson0¢
Elaine Culotti0¢
Derek Grasty0¢
Thunder Parley0¢
Carolina Buhler0¢
Antonio Villaraigosa0¢
Leo Zacky0¢
Nicki Minaj0¢
Daniel Mercuri0¢
Person B0¢
Person H0¢
Person L0¢
Person N0¢
Person R0¢
Person V0¢
Person X0¢
Person S0¢
Person U0¢
Person W0¢
Person Y0¢
Other0¢
Person P0¢
Person F0¢
Person J0¢
Person T0¢
Person Z0¢
Person Q0¢
Person O0¢
Person A0¢
Person C0¢
Person M0¢
Person E0¢
Person G0¢
Person I0¢
Person K0¢
Person D0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $45.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-02 (7d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Xavier Becerra
at 55¢
Price gap
Polymarket55¢
→
OU's fair35¢
−20¢ overpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate

Recent polling indicates Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton are the leading candidates in a crowded field for the upcoming primary election.

Wide edge+20¢
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