California voter ID referendum passes?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
YES42¢ (42%)
NO58¢ (58%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8.1K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 42¢ · pays 2.4×
Price gap
Polymarket42¢
→OU's fair45¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 2.4×
Confidence
Moderate
The voter ID initiative has reached the signature threshold for the 2026 ballot but faces a difficult path in a state that recently passed laws to restrict local voter ID mandates.
Off market consensus
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