Will Maria Wanjera Ghimenton win the 2026 Castelfranco Veneto mayoral election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES46¢ (46%)
NO54¢ (54%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.4K • Updated 5h agoCloses: 2026-06-08 (4d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 54¢ · pays 1.9×
Price gap
Polymarket54¢
→OU's fair55¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.9×
Confidence
Moderate
Maria Ghimenton is the unified center-left candidate in a competitive race against a divided center-right coalition featuring Marica Galante and Roberta Garbujo.
Closes in3d 20h
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