China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES22¢ (22%)
NO78¢ (78%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $395.2K • Updated 19m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · World
OU's Pick
YES at 22¢ · pays 4.7×
Price gap
Polymarket22¢
→OU's fair22¢
Confidence
Low
Tensions in the South China Sea remain high with frequent maritime confrontations but both nations have historically avoided direct kinetic military conflict.
High volume$10k
Off market consensus
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