Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES65¢ (65%)
NO35¢ (35%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.8K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 65¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Polymarket65¢
→OU's fair83¢
+18¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Colorado's 4th district is a historically Republican stronghold that has consistently elected GOP candidates by double-digit margins in recent election cycles.
Wide edge+18¢
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