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Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro86¢
1st Round Outright Winner13¢
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro★ BEST2¢
Other0¢
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $70.6K • Updated 19m agoCloses: 2026-05-31 (6d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
at 2¢
Price gap
Polymarket2¢
→
OU's fair23¢
+21¢ underpriced · pays 43×
Confidence
Moderate

Polls indicate Iv!n Cepeda leads the left while Paloma Valencia and Abelardo de la Espriella are the primary contenders to face him in a potential runoff.

Wide edge+21¢
High volume$12k
Closes in6d 0h
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