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Colombia Presidential Election

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Abelardo de la Espriella65¢
Candidate M50¢
Iván Cepeda Castro★ BEST35¢
Paloma Valencia3¢
Vicky Dávila (IND)0¢
Mauricio Cárdenas0¢
Roy Barreras0¢
Juan Manuel Galán (NL)0¢
David Luna Sánchez (IND)0¢
Daniel Quintero0¢
Luis Gilberto Murillo (CRB)0¢
Claudia López (IND)0¢
Juan Daniel Oviedo (IND)0¢
Germán Vargas Lleras (RC)0¢
Enrique Peñalosa0¢
Juan Carlos Pinzón0¢
Sergio Fajardo (DC)0¢
Carlos Felipe Córdoba0¢
Gustavo Bolívar (HC)0¢
Person L0¢
Miguel Uribe Turbay (CD)0¢
Candidate O0¢
Person J0¢
Candidate P0¢
Person K0¢
Candidate Q0¢
Candidate N0¢
Other0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $30.8M • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-21 (27d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Iván Cepeda Castro
at 35¢
Price gap
Polymarket35¢
→
OU's fair28¢
−7¢ overpriced · pays 2.9×
Confidence
Moderate

Search results indicate Ivan Cepeda Castro is a leading candidate for the 2026 election and is expected to reach the potential runoff stage.

High volume$388k
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