Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES30¢ (30%)
NO70¢ (70%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $7.7K • Updated 42m agoCloses: 2026-06-22 (15d)
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 30¢ · pays 3.4×
Price gap
Polymarket30¢
→OU's fair50¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 3.4×
Confidence
Moderate
Abelardo de la Espriella won the first round of the election and is currently competing in the runoff scheduled for June 21 against a left-wing candidate.
Wide edge+20¢
Off market consensus
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