Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 4% and 6% in May?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES14¢ (14%)
NO86¢ (86%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.1K • Updated 58m agoCloses: 2026-06-25 (20d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 87¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket87¢
→OU's fair95¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical data and current economic forecasts suggest durable goods orders rarely reach the high four to six percent range without significant aircraft order spikes.
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.