Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES39¢ (39%)
NO61¢ (61%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $167.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-30
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 62¢ · pays 1.6×
Price gap
Polymarket62¢
→OU's fair82¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Historical data from the CDC shows that Ebola cases in the United States are extremely rare and typically associated with specific imported travel events from active outbreaks.
Wide edge+20¢
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