ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

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ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price

No change★ BEST78¢

25 bps Increase23¢

50+ bps increase1¢

25 bps decrease0¢

50+ bps decrease0¢

Polymarket • Volume: $9K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-07-23

Polymarket · General

OU's Pick

YES · No change

at 78¢

Price gap

Polymarket78¢

→

OU's fair65¢

−13¢ overpriced · pays 1.3×

Confidence

Moderate

Recent ECB policy decisions in early 2026 have favored maintaining current interest rates despite ongoing debates regarding potential future hikes.

Wide edge+13¢

View on Polymarket↗

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