Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES89¢ (89%)
NO11¢ (11%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $97K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-11 (15d)
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 11¢ · pays 9.1×
Price gap
Polymarket11¢
→OU's fair15¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 9.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Market monitoring tools and economist reports indicate a high probability of a 25 basis point hike to 2.25 percent at the June 10 2026 meeting.
Off market consensus
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