Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES9¢ (9%)
NO91¢ (91%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $440.6K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 9¢ · pays 12×
Price gap
Polymarket9¢
→OU's fair12¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 12×
Confidence
Moderate
Erdođan maintains firm political control and is actively chairing international summits as of late April 2026 with the next scheduled election not occurring until May 2028.
Off market consensus
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