Fed Decision in September?

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Fed Decision in September?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price

No change73¢

25 bps increase16¢

25 bps decrease★ BEST11¢

50+ bps decrease3¢

50+ bps increase1¢

Polymarket • Volume: $54.9K • Updated 12m agoCloses: 2026-09-16

Polymarket · Financials

OU's Pick

YES · 25 bps decrease

at 11¢

Price gap

Polymarket11¢

→

OU's fair32¢

+21¢ underpriced · pays 9.1×

Confidence

Moderate

Goldman Sachs projections and recent FOMC minutes suggest a steady path of 25 basis point cuts through 2026 as inflation stabilizes toward the target.

Wide edge+21¢

View on Polymarket↗

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