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Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
Pause–Pause–Pause★ BEST95¢
Other3¢
Pause–Pause–Cut2¢
Pause–Cut–Pause2¢
Pause–Cut–Cut1¢
Cut–Pause–Pause0¢
Cut–Pause–Cut0¢
Cut–Cut–Pause0¢
Cut–Cut–Cut0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $51.6K • Updated 21m agoCloses: 2026-07-29
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES · Pause–Pause–Pause
at 95¢
Price gap
Polymarket95¢
OU's fair85¢
10¢ overpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate

The Federal Reserve maintained the target rate at 3.75 percent during the April meeting and recent governor speeches emphasize a cautious approach toward further changes.

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