Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $62.2K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-06-17 (22d)
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
NO at 98¢ · pays 1.0×
Price gap
Polymarket98¢
→OU's fair99¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 1.0×
Confidence
High
The Federal Reserve maintained the target rate at the March and April meetings but the required June cut has not occurred yet and the sequence is incomplete.
High conviction
High volume$16k
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