Fed rate cut by...?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
28¢
22¢
14¢
6¢
2¢
Polymarket • Volume: $639.5K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-06-17 (23d)
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES · December Meeting
at 28¢
Price gap
Polymarket28¢
→OU's fair42¢
+14¢ underpriced · pays 3.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent FOMC minutes and Waller's speech indicate a shift in policy risks following the rate cuts that began in late 2025.
Wide edge+14¢
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