Fed rate hike by...?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
28¢
13¢
4¢
1¢
0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $153.4K • Updated 15m agoCloses: 2026-12-09
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES · October Meeting
at 28¢
Price gap
Polymarket28¢
→OU's fair15¢
−13¢ overpriced · pays 3.6×
Confidence
Moderate
Recent FOMC minutes and governor speeches indicate a focus on policy risks rather than immediate rate hikes while the target rate remains stable at 3.75 percent.
Wide edge+13¢
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