Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES37¢ (37%)
NO63¢ (63%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $14.9K • Updated 22m agoCloses: 2026-06-27
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
YES at 37¢ · pays 2.7×
Price gap
Polymarket37¢
→OU's fair45¢
+8¢ underpriced · pays 2.7×
Confidence
Moderate
The USA is the highest ranked team in Group D and holds home field advantage as a co-host against opponents Australia Paraguay and Turkey.
Off market consensus
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