OVER / UNDER
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FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
Thomas Chalifoux★ BEST40¢
Marcus Carter13¢
Justin Story8¢
Howard Steven Rance6¢
Jorge Malavet6¢
Candidate E0¢
Candidate I0¢
Candidate L0¢
Candidate K0¢
Candidate O0¢
Other0¢
Candidate B0¢
Candidate D0¢
Candidate H0¢
Candidate N0¢
Candidate A0¢
Candidate G0¢
Candidate M0¢
Candidate F0¢
Candidate J0¢
Candidate C0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $19.7K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-08-18
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES · Thomas Chalifoux
at 40¢
Price gap
Polymarket40¢
→
OU's fair85¢
+45¢ underpriced · pays 2.5×
Confidence
Moderate

Thomas Chalifoux is a returning candidate with established campaign infrastructure and FEC filings for the 2026 Republican primary in Florida's 9th Congressional District.

Wide edge+45¢
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