Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES25¢ (25%)
NO75¢ (75%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $11.8K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
YES at 25¢ · pays 4.0×
Price gap
Polymarket25¢
→OU's fair26¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 4.0×
Confidence
Low
Florida's 16th district is a Republican-leaning seat held by Vern Buchanan and the Democratic Party has not recently flipped this district in a midterm cycle.
Off market consensus
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