Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES35¢ (35%)
NO65¢ (65%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.2K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-08-18
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 65¢ · pays 1.5×
Price gap
Polymarket65¢
→OU's fair85¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 1.5×
Confidence
Moderate
Elijah Manley is a perennial candidate who has previously failed to secure the Democratic nomination in this district against established incumbents.
Wide edge+20¢
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