Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES81¢ (81%)
NO19¢ (19%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $20.1K • Updated 16m agoCloses:
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 19¢ · pays 5.3×
Price gap
Polymarket19¢
→OU's fair35¢
+16¢ underpriced · pays 5.3×
Confidence
Moderate
Republican Ashley Moody holds a significant cash-on-hand advantage over Democratic challengers in a state that has trended reliably Republican in recent statewide elections.
Wide edge+16¢
Off market consensus
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