Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES85¢ (85%)
NO15¢ (15%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $40.6K • Updated 18m agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · General
OU's Pick
NO at 15¢ · pays 6.7×
Price gap
Polymarket15¢
→OU's fair16¢
+1¢ underpriced · pays 6.7×
Confidence
Low
OpenAI has shifted toward incremental model updates like o1 and o3 while the timeline for a full GPT-6 public release remains speculative without official confirmation.
Off market consensus
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