Will the Democratic Party win the HI-01 House seat?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
Not enough history yet for a chart.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
New points land on each refresh — check back shortly.
Market price
YES96¢ (96%)
NO4¢ (4%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $12.1K • Updated 17m agoCloses: 2026-11-03
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 5¢ · pays 22×
Price gap
Polymarket5¢
→OU's fair5¢
Confidence
Moderate
Hawaii's first congressional district is a safe Democratic seat that has not elected a Republican in over a decade and remains a stronghold for the party.
Off market consensus
Affiliate link — we may earn a commission. Not financial advice. For informational purposes only. Prediction markets involve risk of loss. AI may contain errors.