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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on May 27?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
21°C100¢
24°C0¢
22°C0¢
26°C or higher0¢
25°C0¢
16°C or below★ BEST0¢
17°C0¢
18°C0¢
19°C0¢
20°C0¢
23°C0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $77.1K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-05-27
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 16°C or below
at 0¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair20¢
+20¢ underpriced · pays 2000×
Confidence
Moderate

The Met Office forecast for Amsterdam on May 27 indicates a maximum daytime temperature of 21 degrees Celsius which makes the 19 degree threshold highly likely to be reached.

Wide edge+20¢
High volume$60k
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