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Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 1?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
32°C41¢
31°C33¢
33°C or higher★ BEST20¢
30°C9¢
29°C1¢
28°C0¢
23°C or below0¢
24°C0¢
25°C0¢
26°C0¢
27°C0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $40.7K • Updated 58m agoCloses: 2026-06-01
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 33°C or higher
at 20¢
Price gap
Polymarket20¢
OU's fair18¢
2¢ overpriced · pays 5.1×
Confidence
Moderate

The MET Norway forecast predicts a peak temperature of 30°C for June 1 which is significantly below the 33°C threshold.

High volume$27k
Closes in18h
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