Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 5?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.3K • Updated 52m agoCloses: 2026-06-05 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 1¢ · pays 133×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair40¢
+39¢ underpriced · pays 133×
Confidence
Moderate
The Hong Kong Observatory and MET Norway both forecast extreme heat peaking around 34 to 35 degrees Celsius for June 5.
Wide edge+39¢
Closes in1d 6h
Off market consensus
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