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Highest temperature in London on June 4?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
18°C42¢
19°C32¢
17°C19¢
20°C4¢
16°C2¢
21°C★ BEST1¢
15°C0¢
23°C or higher0¢
22°C0¢
14°C0¢
13°C or below0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $51K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-04
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 21°C
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→
OU's fair25¢
+24¢ underpriced · pays 111×
Confidence
Low

Historical June averages and recent record-breaking heat in London suggest temperatures in the low twenties are more probable than lower thresholds.

Wide edge+24¢
High volume$39k
Closes in17h
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