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Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 6?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
YES2¢ (2%)
NO98¢ (98%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $2.3K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-06 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 2¢ · pays 43×
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair15¢
+13¢ underpriced · pays 43×
Confidence
Moderate

Multiple independent weather forecasts from MET Norway and AQI predict a high of 37°C for June 6 which is significantly above the target threshold.

Wide edge+13¢
Closes in1d 4h
Off market consensus
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