Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on June 9?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES20¢ (20%)
NO80¢ (80%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.8K • Updated 56m agoCloses: 2026-06-09 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 81¢ · pays 1.2×
Price gap
Polymarket81¢
→OU's fair85¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 1.2×
Confidence
Moderate
Multiple weather forecasts for June 9 predict a high of 42 degrees Celsius which is significantly above the contract threshold.
Closes in1d 12h
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