Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 11?
Price history — Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 11?
Last 7 days of market NO price (blue) with the fair-price range (orange).
━ market YES▬ fair range
Market price
YES1¢ (1%)
NO99¢ (99%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $3.5K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-11 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 1¢ · pays 133×
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→OU's fair8¢
+7¢ underpriced · pays 133×
Confidence
Moderate
The MET Norway forecast predicts a peak temperature of 32°C for Madrid Barajas on June 11 which is significantly lower than the target threshold.
Closes in1d 9h
Off market consensus
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