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Highest temperature in Madrid on June 4?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

Not enough history yet for a chart.
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Market price
29°C53¢
30°C28¢
28°C17¢
31°C2¢
27°C1¢
32°C1¢
33°C0¢
26°C0¢
34°C0¢
25°C or below★ BEST0¢
35°C or higher0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $38.2K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-04
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 25°C or below
at 0¢
Price gap
Polymarket0¢
→
OU's fair0¢
Confidence
Low

Historical averages for early June in Madrid center around 29C but significant variance from gridpoint forecasts and local station effects necessitates a wider probability range.

High volume$26k
Closes in11h
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