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Highest temperature in Madrid on June 7?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
33°C48¢
32°C33¢
34°C16¢
31°C4¢
35°C3¢
30°C★ BEST1¢
36°C0¢
29°C0¢
28°C or below0¢
37°C0¢
38°C or higher0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $10.1K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-07 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 30°C
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair12¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 182×
Confidence
Moderate

The MET Norway forecast predicts a peak temperature of 33°C for Madrid Barajas on June 7 which is significantly higher than the specific 30°C threshold.

High volume$10k
Closes in22h
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