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Highest temperature in Madrid on June 8?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
34°C★ BEST55¢
33°C28¢
35°C12¢
32°C6¢
36°C1¢
31°C0¢
37°C0¢
38°C0¢
39°C or higher0¢
29°C or below0¢
30°C0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $14.7K • Updated 1m agoCloses: 2026-06-08
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 34°C
at 55¢
Price gap
Polymarket55¢
→
OU's fair29¢
−26¢ overpriced · pays 1.8×
Confidence
Moderate

The MET Norway forecast predicts a peak temperature of 33°C for Madrid Barajas on June 8 which is just below the specific threshold required for this contract.

Wide edge+26¢
High volume$10k
Closes in19h
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