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Highest temperature in Madrid on May 28?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
34°C52¢
35°C34¢
33°C11¢
36°C5¢
37°C1¢
32°C★ BEST1¢
38°C0¢
31°C0¢
30°C0¢
39°C or higher0¢
29°C or below0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $31.4K • Updated 16m agoCloses: 2026-05-28
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 32°C
at 1¢
Price gap
Polymarket1¢
→
OU's fair12¢
+11¢ underpriced · pays 182×
Confidence
Moderate

The MET Norway forecast predicts a peak temperature of 34°C for Madrid Barajas on May 28 which is two degrees above the specific 32°C target.

High volume$18k
Closes in19h
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