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Highest temperature in NYC on May 27?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
84-85°F30¢
86-87°F23¢
82-83°F★ BEST23¢
80-81°F13¢
88-89°F5¢
78-79°F4¢
76-77°F2¢
90-91°F2¢
92°F or higher1¢
74-75°F1¢
73°F or below1¢
Polymarket • Volume: $48.1K • Updated 12m agoCloses: 2026-05-27
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 82-83°F
at 23¢
Price gap
Polymarket23¢
OU's fair45¢
+22¢ underpriced · pays 4.4×
Confidence
High

Both MET Norway and NOAA forecasts specifically predict a peak temperature of 82°F for LaGuardia Airport on May 27.

Wide edge+22¢
High conviction
High volume$30k
Closes in18h
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