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Highest temperature in Paris on May 26?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
32°C46¢
33°C28¢
31°C19¢
34°C9¢
30°C★ BEST3¢
35°C or higher1¢
29°C0¢
25°C or below0¢
28°C0¢
27°C0¢
26°C0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $31.9K • Updated 28m agoCloses: 2026-05-26 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 30°C
at 3¢
Price gap
Polymarket
OU's fair22¢
+19¢ underpriced · pays 38×
Confidence
Moderate

The MET Norway forecast predicts a peak of 29 degrees Celsius which sits just below the threshold while accounting for inherent model and station uncertainty.

Wide edge+19¢
High volume$25k
Closes in1d 2h
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