Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 4?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
47¢
31¢
28¢
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Polymarket • Volume: $55.9K • Updated 2h agoCloses: 2026-06-04
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 22°C
at 47¢
Price gap
Polymarket47¢
→OU's fair12¢
−35¢ overpriced · pays 2.2×
Confidence
Low
Historical June averages in Tokyo are significantly higher than 22°C and recent trends show record-breaking heat for the month.
Wide edge+35¢
High volume$46k
Closes in17h
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