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Highest temperature in Tokyo on June 7?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
22°C35¢
21°C★ BEST28¢
23°C27¢
20°C10¢
24°C5¢
19°C2¢
26°C or higher1¢
25°C1¢
18°C0¢
16°C or below0¢
17°C0¢
Polymarket • Volume: $15.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-07 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES · 21°C
at 28¢
Price gap
Polymarket28¢
OU's fair45¢
+17¢ underpriced · pays 3.6×
Confidence
Moderate

The MET Norway forecast specifically predicts a peak temperature of 21°C for Tokyo Haneda on June 7 which aligns with historical June averages for the region.

Wide edge+17¢
High volume$15k
Closes in1d 5h
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