Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on May 31?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES96¢ (96%)
NO4¢ (4%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-05-31
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 5¢ · pays 22×
Price gap
Polymarket5¢
→OU's fair65¢
+60¢ underpriced · pays 22×
Confidence
Moderate
The MET Norway forecast for May 31 predicts a peak temperature of 27°C at Tokyo Haneda Airport with high confidence from the ECMWF and MET-Nordic models.
Wide edge+60¢
Closes in12h
Off market consensus
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