Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 4?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES64¢ (64%)
NO36¢ (36%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $8K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-04
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
NO at 36¢ · pays 2.8×
Price gap
Polymarket36¢
→OU's fair36¢
Confidence
Low
AccuWeather forecasts a high of 28 degrees Celsius for Toronto today which falls short of the threshold despite the general trend of increasing summer heat days.
Off market consensus
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