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How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Market price history

Rolling 7-day window of market YES price with the OU fair-price range overlay.

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Market price
3.9%41¢
3.8%38¢
3.7%25¢
1.0%4¢
Polymarket • Volume: $146.5K • Updated 4h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Financials
OU's Pick
YES · 3.9%
at 41¢
Price gap
Polymarket41¢
→
OU's fair80¢
+39¢ underpriced · pays 2.4×
Confidence
Moderate

Current 10-year yields are near 4.67 percent and recent Fed communications suggest a cautious approach to rate cuts that limits the likelihood of a significant dip below 4 percent.

Wide edge+39¢
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