Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES11¢ (11%)
NO89¢ (89%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $6.2K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-12-31
Polymarket · Politics
OU's Pick
NO at 89¢ · pays 1.1×
Price gap
Polymarket89¢
→OU's fair92¢
+3¢ underpriced · pays 1.1×
Confidence
Moderate
Statista reports Trump's approval at 40 percent in May 2026 and historical data shows presidential approval ratings rarely drop to the 20 percent threshold.
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