Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES41¢ (41%)
NO59¢ (59%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $5.4K • Updated 3h agoCloses: 2026-06-08 (1d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 41¢ · pays 2.4×
Price gap
Polymarket41¢
→OU's fair45¢
+4¢ underpriced · pays 2.4×
Confidence
Moderate
The USGS catalog reports six earthquakes of magnitude five point five or higher in the last seven days indicating a high likelihood of exceeding the threshold.
Closes in1d 3h
Off market consensus
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