Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?
Market price history
Rolling 7-day window of market NO price with the OU fair-price range overlay.
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Market price
YES4¢ (4%)
NO96¢ (96%)
Latest refresh · prices in cents
Polymarket • Volume: $1.4K • Updated 1h agoCloses: 2026-06-15 (7d)
Polymarket · Climate and Weather
OU's Pick
YES at 4¢ · pays 25×
Price gap
Polymarket4¢
→OU's fair45¢
+41¢ underpriced · pays 25×
Confidence
Low
Global earthquake frequency for magnitude 5.5 or higher events typically averages about fifteen per month which suggests a weekly count often exceeding three.
Wide edge+41¢
Off market consensus
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